Different sort of post, just a line discussion really, comments on everything appreciated. Villain is 30/24/9.3 3-bet and very good, a huge winner at these stakes, maybe the biggest I've seen bb/100 wise. 3bet vs UTG raise is 7%, 3bet from BB is 9%, Fold to cbet is 52%, check raise flop is 10%, raise cbet is 20%, turn aggression is 31%, river aggression is 27%.
The crux of this is I have a note which reads "Min reraise with 99 vs my MP CB on 532r." Obviously, the 2 spots are very similar, and he kind of tank called pre (possibly meaningless from a multitabler, but anyway).
So, is this whole thing way too thin / totally stupid / bad FPS? Is this line much better with AQ and hugely better with AK to the point where AJ isn't good enough? Is the 852 flop too high, how much better is 752, 652 etc? My thought process is that he has 99-JJ, maybe QQ here, and that I could float him to the river, playing it slow and taking it away on the river repping KK/AA or a boat (or repping a K or maybe Q on the turn), or, of course, masterfully getting there. His MO in these spots seems to be thin value vs AK or smaller pairs 87etc where his check raise reps nothing, then he bets turn and it goes check / check on the river and he wins a nice sized pot vs that range, and I guess he feels it beats check calling to bluff catch, which is an interesting point also.
$200.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em
Seat 10 is the button
Seat 1: HiOnRedBull ( $207.00 USD )
Seat 3: Villain ( $294.45 USD )
Seat 5: Smachni ( $221.90 USD )
Seat 6: Hero ( $203.00 USD )
Seat 8: adm1r ( $281.00 USD )
Seat 10: tintinnb ( $250.45 USD )
HiOnRedBull posts small blind [$1.00 USD].
Villain posts big blind [$2.00 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ Jh As ]
Smachni folds
Hero raises [$7.00 USD]
adm1r folds
tintinnb folds
HiOnRedBull folds
Villain calls [$5.00 USD]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 5s, 8c, 2d ] (Pot $15)
Villain checks
Hero bets [$8.00 USD]
Villain raises [$20.00 USD]
Hero calls [$12.00 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 5d ] (Pot $55)
Villain bets [$30.00 USD]
Hero calls [$30.00 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ 3h ] (Pot $115)
Villain checks
Hero bets [$84.00 USD] (from $146)
Villain ?????